WDW Daily Recap: Thursday, May 7
Mixed results. The model got some parks right but missed on others. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Thursday, May 7.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 20.3 | 12.7 | -7.6 | Missed |
| EPCOT | 22.6 | 18.8 | -3.8 | Close |
| Hollywood Studios | 29.2 | 16.5 | -12.7 | Big miss |
| Animal Kingdom | 39.1 | 26.9 | -12.2 | Big miss |
Overall MAE: 9.1 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Hollywood Studios
Hollywood Studios was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 29.2, but the observed value came in at 16.5 — 12.7 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millennium Falcon | 41 | 20 | -20.1 | 20.2 |
| Star Tours | 25 | 6 | -19.1 | 19.1 |
| Runaway Railway | 39 | 28 | -11.1 | 16.1 |
| Toy Story Mania! | 39 | 26 | -13.1 | 13.1 |
| Alien Saucers | 27 | 17 | -10.1 | 11.4 |
| Slinky Dog | 47 | 38 | -8.9 | 10.7 |
| Tower of Terror | 34 | 26 | -8.1 | 10.7 |
| Rise of Resistance | 35 | 31 | -3.5 | 10.2 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Hollywood Studios
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Runaway Railway — no data from 8:36 PM to 10:49 PM (133 min gap)
- Runaway Railway — no data from 4:35 PM to 6:35 PM (120 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.