WDW Daily Recap: Saturday, May 2
Solid day overall. Most parks tracked well, with one outlier pulling the average. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Saturday, May 2.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 21.8 | 16.3 | -5.5 | Missed |
| EPCOT | 23.9 | 21.9 | -2.0 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 29.6 | 26.7 | -2.9 | Close |
| Animal Kingdom | 40.1 | 31.1 | -9.0 | Missed |
Overall MAE: 4.8 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Animal Kingdom
Animal Kingdom was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 40.1, but the observed value came in at 31.1 — 9.0 points lighter than expected.
The error was concentrated in one attraction: Na'vi River (MAE 53.9), which drove most of the park-level miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Na'vi River | 88 | 34 | -53.9 | 53.9 |
| Flight of Passage | 55 | 62 | +7.0 | 12.5 |
| Kali River Rapids | 27 | 32 | +5.3 | 10.4 |
| Kilimanjaro Safaris | 29 | 27 | -1.6 | 10.0 |
| Adventurers Outpost | 17 | 23 | +6.6 | 7.8 |
| Expedition Everest | 24 | 26 | +1.0 | 7.0 |
| Zootopia | 16 | 13 | -3.3 | 3.6 |
| Gorilla Falls Trail | 5 | 6 | +0.7 | 0.7 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Animal Kingdom
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Kali River Rapids — no data from 3:09 PM to 5:08 PM (119 min gap)
- Character Landing — no data from 12:15 PM to 1:50 PM (95 min gap)
- Gorilla Falls Trail — no data from 3:05 PM to 4:05 PM (60 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.